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The possibility of a united opposition for Zimbabwe’s 2013 elections

Published: December 30, 2012

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OpinionThe biggest let down for Zimbabwe in the 2008 elections was the failure by the opposition parties to stage a united front against President Robert Mugabe. The factionalism that rocked the MDC family and their failure to resolve their differences then was their downfall. That split in votes cost them dearly, coupled with the failure to rope in Simba Makoni’s Mavambo/Kusile/Dawn. If there is anything that can be learnt from Zimbabwe’s violent 2008 elections is that Mugabe can only be defeated by a united front.

The stats on the ground will also favour a united front by the MDC factions. The recent poll by the Freedom House organisation can only verify this.

MDC-T leader, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai, is slowly losing ground to Mugabe’s ZANU-PF and his bed-hopping scandals have only led to his poll stats falling. It is no tale that MDC-T and Prof.

Welshman Ncube’s MDC are the biggest threat to Mugabe and it is only through their merger that we can talk of a win for them. It was welcoming news recently when the MDC-T secretary general and Finance Minister was quoted as saying that unification between the two warring factions cannot be totally written off.

An election pact between Tsvangirai and Ncube could be the catalyst to ending ZANU-PF’s dominance. Prof. Welshman Ncube has done a lot of ground work in Bulawayo and the whole of Matebeleland making his party a major player there. Whilst Tsvangirai might have dismissed Ncube’s ambitions saying that he is only concentrating in Matebeleland, the truth of the matter is that Tsvangirai is afraid that the MDC-T might lose some of their constituencies there to Prof. Ncube. Professor Welshman Ncube is no novice when it comes to politics and no-one can blame him for channeling most of his resources to Matebeleland. That is his home and that is comfort zone. If he is to take Matebeleland then he could be a major player in the next government, possibly another monster in the form of a unity-coalition government.

Going to Matebeleland, to Bulawayo you can see just how much he has done there. The MDC green flags and flyers are everywhere. He is donating bicycles and cattle and right about everything, nicely buttering the people. Whatever he is doing, whether you can call it vote-buying or any term you wish, it is working. ZANU-PF gives farm inputs based on party-cards and we are all used to that now and we cannot blame Prof. Welshman Ncube.

Tsvangirai is very much aware of what the green MDC has done and he is wary of losing ground in Matebeleland. The MDC-T is being hit from all corners. The poll figures are low, ZANU-PF is gaining ground and Welshman Ncube is hitting him hard from Matebeleland and his only chance of ever upsetting president Mugabe is through an election pact with some of the other opposition parties.

There was talk of a possible pact between MDC-T and Simba Makoni, which could be a game changer if we are to take note of the 8% Simba got in 2008 which potentially cost the MDC-T.

Yes a pact between the MDC-T and Mavambo/Kusile/Dawn is a positive move but is it enough? There is a great need to also rope in Welshman Ncube too. Whilst point men in both MDC-T and MDC in the form of Tendai Biti and Senator David Coltart have come out in support of an election pact, their superiors are throwing fists everywhere. Both Tsvangirai and Welshman are criticizing each other whenever they are given a chance. This puts further gloom on a possible pact. Welshman Ncube can do without a pact if he is only after consolidating Matebeleland and he can go to bed with whoever comes to him for a coalition but for Tsvangirai, it could be his last straw.

The MDC-T preaches democracy and change of leadership at regular intervals and if Tsvangirai loses next year then calls for a change in leadership will only get louder. He might be blinded coming in public calling Welshman a “village” politician but the truth is that Tsvangirai needs this village-man called Welshman.

If they are to kiss and make up the biggest stumbling block that could kill the chances of the election pact is on fielding candidates. Both men would like to field candidates in all the constituencies and I do not see Welshman Ncube settling for a deal where he will be forced to settle for less. He might budge in some other provinces but in his home region of Matebeleland he will tell Tsvangirai no to his face.

The biggest pact that could usher the change the MDC family has been promising the people since 2000 can only come through if these two MDC factions sit down and put their differences aside for the good of their people. Their big egos could cost them, particularly Tsvangirai because he is the one who stands to lose the most. He is the one who needs to re-affirm the people that indeed he is capable. He needs to let go his ego because his confidence ratings amongst the people and even some of his backers from abroad, is at an all-time low. He needs to surround himself with people that can take him forward because if he is to lose the next elections, then it could be game over for him after so much promise and struggle.


WPSN comments

20 Comments on "The possibility of a united opposition for Zimbabwe’s 2013 elections"

  1. Nqobile on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 11:41 am 

    How com no one want to fom a pact wit zanu?

  2. Gift Rimai on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 1:39 pm 

    Wat about th mutumwa mawere probable move,makoni,ncube & tsvangirai shld burry+the hutchet.going for the looming polls isolated as they are wld imply zanu pf upper hand

  3. Bla Miki on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 3:28 pm 

    Very desperate indeed, now you admit that the US based survey holds water? Fools!

  4. Mike Hove on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 6:14 pm 

    The article makes sense, and everyone who really cares has been saying the same, but Professor Ncube will not take any of that? While he may have covered some ground in Matebeleland as suggested by this article, it is very likely that if he continues to refuse to work with Morgan Tsvangirai, more people will defect to MDC-T. He must learn to swallo his pride and take Senator David Coltart’s advice.

  5. Skint War Vet on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 6:59 pm 

    Mr David Hwangwa, Editor
    Thats a dream opinion but NO. No to any coalition with TRAITORS. MDC-T can do it without those fukin SPYS like Ncube, Makoni, Mutambara, Sikhala and even the latest ZanuPF acquisation Mutumwa Mawere. ZanuPF has been sponsoring these evil bhastards to so that it mantains its looting Status Quo. NO NO NO to any pact. People of Zimbabwe have spoken since 1995. We need our voices to be heard. NO TO ANY PACT. NO TO COALITION. NO MORE. ONE VOTE – ONE GOVERNMENT. We can continue to be a world laughing stoke because of THESE THUGS. ENOUGH IS ENOUGH.

  6. james on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 7:30 pm 

    Tsvangirai i ***** chaiyo, ndiye akakonzeresa division and still goes to decampaign the learned prof

  7. james on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 7:32 pm 

    Skint war vet hauna clue ne politics dze kuzimbabwe better shut the hell up

  8. Ndetshu on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 8:19 pm 

    When will these MDC-T fools learn that Matebeleland decides who wins the elections? Coalition with Makoni will not work because he got almost all his votes from Matebeleland where he is now considered a traitor. So forget about that 8% because it’s no longer there. As for ZAPU, don’t even mention because the revolutionary party cannot work with sellouts. Like it or not the decisions comes from us.

  9. Ndaba Nhuku on Sun, 30th Dec 2012 10:47 pm 

    Why do some people think its up to Ncube to go crawling to Morgan for a unification? Ncube tried in 2008 and Morgan refused thinking he was too big to be beaten by Zanu…the rest is history. By insulting Ncube, you MDC-T guys should then forget about unificatin. This is a project that needs Morgan, he has to court all parties and not want them to go to him. He needs to learn to humble himself. Hasanyone ever heard of other party leaders calling Ncube names except for Morgan, why? They all know Ncube and Morgan, thus know who is better between the two; only that Morgan is popular due to tribalism and ZCTU. Morgan never learns, the village boy has penetrated the whole of Zim by selling his policies and campaigning. Remember he was the Secretary General of MDC-T at its peak, the real brains behind its campaigns. The onus is on Morgan, Biti, Khuphe to reign in their followers and Morgan himself. Look at how Morgan unites with Zanu in detesting Ncube, hence the Mutambara issue ever pending. If Morgan wanted otherwise, this would have been solved the way Ncube showed maturity by having his party vote for Lovemore Moyo as Speaker. In turn what did Morgan do, call Ncube all sorts of names even in his childish book…speak of political maturity..Zimbabwe deserves better veduwe. Anywhere unity ndizvo tozoona zvinotevera Bob azorodzva hake.

  10. Mukadota on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 12:11 am 

    Ndetshu stop lying about Makoni you fart brain, we all know Ncube had a hand in this by encouraging people in Matebeleland to vote for Makoni in 2008. This guy is the biggest sellout after Lobengula l would not even trust him with babysitting my 2yr old boy sucking on a lollipop. This talk about coalitions is waste of space just bring on the elections all my bets are on zanoo pee eff being a gonner.

  11. Jumpdaki on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 6:20 am 

    The only thing big about Chematama these days is his head not his support base. Even his handlers are now having secret meetings with Zanu because they realise that Tswangirai is not pushing their regime change agenda but women change agenda. So the US now needs change from within ZPF. Chija maisiro chinja! while Welsh goes chinja maitiro chinja!

  12. Gugugu Magorira on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 7:01 am 

    Tsvangirai is too selfish,greedy,a*****ous,tired,adulterous.mdc and mdct are like water and oil.As shona people in Masvingo we will stand by Prof Welshman Ncube and those who believe that Tsvangirai can still rise from the dead can continue funding and supporting him.we are not interested in a coalition under Tsvangirai.That is rubbish!!.

  13. Ndetshu on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 7:17 am 

    Jumpdaki. The only big thing with Morgan lubolo lwakhe. As for this clown Mukadota, he will die of stress when results are announced. Thina oNdetshu simngcwabe uMiki asale ezeka umfazi wakhe.

  14. SIMBA on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 7:37 am 

    COMBINING INTO ONE PARTY IS THE MOST SENSIBLE THING

  15. Mukadota on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 7:46 am 

    Well matey Ndetshu it looks like stress has already killed the remaining brain cells you are left with. Just take a good look at the tripe that comes out of that retarded brain.

  16. Jumpdaki on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 8:32 am 

    Ndetshu you are right, Mukadota will die from stress and people will think he died of HIV but me and you will correct them and say it is stress and because we are not their granny Nehanda they will not believe us. Yena ugiya ngalo mpela utshaya ispring njengespring. Nga ukuluphosa yikuthatha ilizwe ngasewalithatha kudala. Ndetshu mfethu kuyishwa ngoba umaluphosa kasozake alibuse elenkosi but uma engathola ithuba uzezwa esesithi yina ngowesikhosini usekurusekuru wayevele vat, vat banjalo mfethu asimanga lokuzisikela ehwahweni. As for I will tell them off all the time.

  17. Jayz on Mon, 31st Dec 2012 10:45 am 

    4 me, who goes with who is not the case; the only thing i wish 4 all Zimbns is to be united and throw down the old dog, i mean the one without teeth.

  18. chirumhanzu on Wed, 2nd Jan 2013 7:05 am 

    bvudzai isu tirikumusha. Vanhu vakavhotera MDC, dzichakabatana, nepadzakazopatsurana, ruzhinji rwacho aiva vashandi vehurumemnde avo vakanga vaka vimbiswa zvisakaonekwa. Vose ava vakanga vasingazivi kuti MDC ndeyavarungu.Chirongwa chokufumisa vatema, chokutanga neminda vakawanda vaifunga kuti manomano aVaMugabe ne Zanu PF, ndokuzoona kuti inga vanhu vatema vava kufuma, munhuwo zvake wokumaruwa ava kuendesa fodya yake ku Auction, vanhu vavakutenga, ma television, solar system, kuvaka dzimba dzakanaka kumaruwa; iko zvino vanhu vanoda nezvemigodhi vava kuwana ma claims avo pachena. Zvose izvi vanhu vava kuziva kuti Zanu ibato ravanhu. Paupenyu SADC, yose inoziva kuti maZimbabweans azogarika, pa politics Zimbabwe yaenda, pakuzvitonga, Zimbabwe yakura.Namamiriro izvinhu varikunze ma Zimbabweans vakasangwara vasara zvachose. ma opportunities okuti munhu ave no upenyu whemando yapamusoro iripo kuZimbabwe. Upenyu muZimbabwe i ZANU PF. Avo vanoda havo MDC, kana chii zvacho, aaaa mazvokuda, asi chokwadi ndichocho MDC yambumba, zvayo zvapera.

  19. Osagie AGBONZE on Thu, 3rd Jan 2013 3:18 pm 

    Mugabe, it appears, seem to have direction which all of you lack.
    Thanks to him that Africans are no longer subject to the mental slavery of
    the criminally minded Rhodesian government.
    At least Africans can now walk freely on the streets of Zimbabwe.
    So, please! let him be.

  20. mbuso on Sun, 13th Jan 2013 3:47 pm 

    To my fellow Zimbabweans,the media should stop projecting MDC led by Ncube,is an regional party based in Matebeleland becaause that’s not true,stop baised reporting.Please go to mdczim.net and see that most biggest rallies of are held outside Matebeleland.The executive of MDC is 90 per cent Shona only 2 Ndebeles are in the executive.So please report facts and not try to divide Zimbabweans,

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